Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
40
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
5 - 0
PET
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
1 - 4
QOS
20%
25%
55%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FAL
3 - 1
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CLY
2 - 2
PET
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KHE
2 - 0
FAL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
KHE
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KHE
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KHE
0 - 0
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CLY
3 - 0
KHE
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |