Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PET
3 - 0
ELG
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 3
PET
36%
25%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PET
1 - 0
BER
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CWB
2 - 4
PET
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PET
0 - 1
BOH
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
KHE
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
KHE
4 - 0
CIV
79%
13%
8%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
KHE
3 - 1
DAL
74%
15%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DAL
0 - 0
KHE
12%
16%
73%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
KHE
2 - 0
THE
62%
19%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |