Peterborough United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
POS
0 - 2
HUL
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CRY
3 - 2
POS
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
POS
1 - 0
SHW
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DER
3 - 1
POS
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
POS
0 - 0
BHA
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
TOT
11%
20%
69%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 3
SWI
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SCU
3 - 1
SWI
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 0
STE
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |