Peterborough United vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
POS
0 - 2
ASV
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
POS
0 - 2
NOR
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
POS
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POS
2 - 2
WAT
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
POS
1 - 3
SOU
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 2
MIL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
IPS
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DAR
0 - 0
SOU
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
CRE
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |