FA Cup 1/128
Global 6-6
Peterborough United vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
POS
3 - 1
TOT
83%
12%
6%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BPO
2 - 4
POS
42%
25%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
POS
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
POS
2 - 2
WYC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POS
2 - 0
LIN
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 3
MAN
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAL
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
DON
0 - 3
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WRE
3 - 2
SAL
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |