Peterborough United vs Milton Keynes Dons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
POS
3 - 0
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
COL
2 - 1
POS
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 2
POS
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
POS
1 - 0
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
POS
1 - 1
WYC
65%
20%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 3
BOU
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 1
MKD
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
MKD
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 1
BAR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |