Peterborough United vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
POS
1 - 0
PLY
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POS
1 - 2
BPO
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 0
POS
24%
24%
51%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
POS
16%
20%
64%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
OXF
1 - 2
POS
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
CHO
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHO
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
WIG
2 - 3
CHO
81%
14%
5%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
CHO
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 2
KID
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |