Peterborough Sports vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
PET
3 - 1
KIN
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BUX
1 - 3
PET
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
CHO
0 - 0
PET
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
NEE
1 - 2
PET
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
PET
0 - 1
SCU
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 2
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
LEA
2 - 1
HER
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
HER
0 - 3
KID
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SCU
0 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |