Pesqueira vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
3 - 1
PES
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
YPI
0 - 2
PES
34%
27%
38%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
PES
2 - 1
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
PES
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
3 - 1
PES
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
VCR
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
1 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VCR
4 - 0
YPI
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
AME
2 - 0
VCR
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |