Pesqueira vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
PER
2 - 1
PES
27%
24%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PES
2 - 2
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
PES
1 - 1
AME
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
YPI
1 - 0
PES
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 3
PES
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
VCR
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VCR
0 - 0
YPI
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
VCR
54%
24%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
PER
55%
22%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VCR
2 - 1
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |