Pesqueira vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PES
3 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
PES
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
PES
0 - 0
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 4
PES
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 0
PES
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
SER
87%
9%
3%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 4
PES
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |