Pesqueira vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
PES
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
PES
0 - 0
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 4
PES
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 0
PES
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PES
2 - 1
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
8 - 0
PET
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 3
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
81%
13%
5%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |