Pesqueira vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PES
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
YPI
0 - 0
PES
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
PES
1 - 0
ACA
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
PES
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 2
YPI
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 4
ACA
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
PES
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |