Pesch vs Viktoria Arnoldsweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
15º
18
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 1
PES
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PES
3 - 1
H05
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 3
PES
57%
20%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PES
0 - 0
BSC
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 0
PES
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Arnoldsweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
H05
10%
15%
74%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BSC
4 - 2
VIA
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
2 - 2
HUR
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 0
VIA
74%
15%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIA
1 - 2
WEG
16%
20%
63%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |