Pesch vs VfL Rheinbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TOP
2 - 0
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PES
2 - 3
SHN
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
6 - 0
PES
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PES
4 - 2
FBH
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SVD
0 - 0
PES
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Rheinbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VLR
3 - 0
TSL
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TMA
2 - 1
VLR
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TMO
2 - 2
VLR
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VLR
1 - 1
MER
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |