Pesch vs Union Schafhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
12.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
13º
9º
12
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 55 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 33 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 32 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SPV
1 - 5
PES
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
PES
0 - 1
SPF
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 2
PES
60%
20%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
BER
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 0
PES
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Union Schafhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
USC
1 - 2
KON
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TWE
5 - 1
USC
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WEG
2 - 0
USC
71%
16%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SCF
6 - 0
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USC
1 - 3
H05
39%
21%
40%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |