Pesch vs Fortuna Bonn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TOP
1 - 3
PES
21%
21%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SNS
1 - 1
PES
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PES
3 - 1
RHE
79%
12%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TMO
0 - 1
PES
11%
16%
73%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PES
4 - 1
MER
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Bonn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FBO
0 - 2
SVD
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 2
FBO
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
FBO
2 - 2
SNS
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FBO
1 - 3
SHN
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FBO
1 - 2
BOR
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |