Pesch vs Hürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
15º
34
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 0
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 0
PES
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PES
4 - 1
BER
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +6 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
WEG
2 - 1
PES
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
VFL
31%
22%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HUR
3 - 4
SVE
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
WEG
2 - 1
HUR
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HUR
3 - 0
KON
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
BFR
3 - 1
HUR
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
SIE
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |