Pesch vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
75.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
15º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 3
PES
57%
20%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PES
0 - 0
BSC
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 0
PES
66%
19%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 1
PES
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
PES
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 6
H05
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
H05
1 - 1
SVE
68%
17%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
H05
3 - 0
SPV
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SFB
5 - 2
H05
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ENG
4 - 3
H05
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |