Pesch vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
H05
2 - 2
PES
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PES
5 - 0
EIL
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SVB
3 - 5
PES
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PES
1 - 3
HUR
29%
21%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BFR
3 - 2
PES
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
BWF
1 - 3
WES
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WEG
3 - 0
BWF
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BWF
0 - 4
DUR
43%
21%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BWF
1 - 3
SCF
68%
16%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
H05
1 - 1
BWF
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |