Pesch vs FC BW Friesdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 1
PES
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PES
2 - 3
SIE
40%
23%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PES
0 - 0
WES
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
PES
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PES
2 - 3
VFL
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC BW Friesdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
H05
2 - 2
BWF
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BFR
0 - 1
BWF
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BWF
5 - 1
VIA
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SVB
2 - 2
BWF
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BWF
4 - 3
HIL
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |