Pesch vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 2
PES
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
PES
1 - 7
H05
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BFR
2 - 0
PES
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PES
1 - 2
VIA
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SVB
6 - 0
PES
67%
18%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 1
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 2
HUR
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
SIE
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
H05
3 - 1
BER
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
WES
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |