Pesch vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
15º
33
3º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
PES
1 - 3
SPV
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PES
4 - 2
WES
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SIE
3 - 1
PES
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PES
5 - 3
VIA
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EIL
1 - 0
PES
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MEE
2 - 0
BGP
55%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
BGP
4 - 2
SVB
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
WES
0 - 4
BGP
12%
18%
71%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
SIE
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 2
BGP
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |