Pesch vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PES
0 - 1
BER
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EUR
1 - 2
PES
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
PES
1 - 7
H05
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BFR
2 - 0
PES
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PES
1 - 2
VIA
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
H05
1 - 0
ALT
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VIA
3 - 1
ALT
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 2
SVB
52%
21%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HIL
4 - 2
ALT
21%
19%
60%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 2
BWF
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |