Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Pescara vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
VER
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PES
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 1
PES
56%
25%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
PES
1 - 1
ROM
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
PES
2 - 1
BOL
39%
30%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 0
COM
53%
29%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 2
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 0
MOD
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |