Pescara vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PES
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
TRE
1 - 1
PES
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 3
ABN
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
PES
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 2
PIA
28%
28%
45%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
MOD
4 - 0
TER
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 0
MOD
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 0
PIA
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 0
MOD
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |