Pescara vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
PES
2 - 2
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
CRO
2 - 0
PES
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
PES
0 - 1
TOR
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 0
PES
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
PES
1 - 3
TER
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
42%
29%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
LAQ
0 - 2
MES
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MES
1 - 0
PAL
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GIU
1 - 1
MES
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
LOD
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |