Pescara vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CRO
3 - 0
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
JUS
2 - 1
PES
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
PES
1 - 2
EMP
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
MOD
0 - 1
PES
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 0
LAT
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 3
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |