Pescara vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
PES
58%
26%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
PES
2 - 0
EMP
45%
28%
26%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
PRG
2 - 0
PES
47%
31%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
PES
2 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
PIS
2 - 0
PES
55%
29%
16%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
ARZ
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAM
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAR
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
GEN
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |