Perugia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
2 - 4
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 3
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
PRG
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
2 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
FRO
4 - 3
ACD
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
0 - 2
SAL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ACD
3 - 1
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |