Perugia vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
PRG
4 - 0
LAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
USF
0 - 1
PRG
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
PRG
0 - 1
VER
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
ACM
2 - 2
PRG
69%
20%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
PRG
2 - 0
TOR
35%
30%
34%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
GEN
1 - 2
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VIC
3 - 0
BOL
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
USF
1 - 1
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VIC
4 - 3
ROM
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |