Perugia vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
VER
2 - 0
PRG
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
TER
1 - 2
PRG
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PRG
2 - 1
REG
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ROM
3 - 1
PRG
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
PRG
3 - 0
CAG
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
VNZ
1 - 0
INT
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
PES
0 - 0
VNZ
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
JUV
1 - 0
VNZ
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CAG
1 - 1
VNZ
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VNZ
1 - 3
ROM
24%
25%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |