Perugia vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 3
PRG
13%
24%
63%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
PRG
11%
23%
66%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
IMO
0 - 1
PRG
11%
22%
67%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCS
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
ASG
3 - 2
PRG
14%
24%
62%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAD
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
TRI
25%
28%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
FER
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |