Perugia vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
PRG
47%
32%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAM
51%
30%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
PAL
1 - 1
PRG
48%
30%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 1
BRE
53%
29%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 4
ASC
40%
31%
30%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAT
59%
26%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
TRI
42%
32%
26%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
ASS
57%
27%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |