Perugia vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
26.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 1
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PIS
4 - 1
PRG
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
CES
2 - 2
PRG
55%
28%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
3 - 1
TAR
54%
29%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1985 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIS
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 1
TRI
29%
31%
40%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |