Perugia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PRG
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
3 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
ACL
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 2
USC
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
USC
4 - 3
FOL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 2
USC
23%
28%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
USC
0 - 0
SOR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |