Perugia vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAG
48%
31%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
SSS
51%
31%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
CAM
2 - 1
PRG
44%
33%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAL
50%
29%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
USC
2 - 2
TRI
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USC
45%
32%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
USC
0 - 1
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
PES
1 - 0
USC
54%
28%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
USC
1 - 2
BOL
62%
25%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |