Perugia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
PRG
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
PRG
0 - 3
CES
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SPE
4 - 2
PRG
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
USF
2 - 1
PRG
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PRG
1 - 5
LEO
63%
24%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEO
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
PES
2 - 1
AVE
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 3
SAL
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |