Perugia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRG
33%
30%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
PRG
41%
28%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRG
0 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 0
PRG
43%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 2
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
TER
2 - 2
AVE
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 1
LIV
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |