Perugia vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
BOL
4 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 0
FIO
43%
30%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
TOR
2 - 0
PRG
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 2
INT
32%
32%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
43%
29%
28%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
UDI
1 - 0
PIS
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
INT
2 - 0
UDI
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
NAP
1 - 0
UDI
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
UDI
0 - 0
TOR
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDI
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |