Perugia vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 0
PRG
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRG
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
PRG
2 - 2
NAP
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
INT
2 - 2
PRG
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 2
PRG
51%
29%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
TOR
3 - 1
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1976 |
CES
1 - 1
TOR
37%
30%
32%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
TOR
4 - 2
VER
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
CAG
0 - 0
TOR
29%
31%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1976 |
TOR
2 - 1
LAZ
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |