Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 1
VNZ
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
PRG
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 2
PRG
23%
27%
51%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 0
USC
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
TER
2 - 2
USF
32%
25%
42%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TER
5 - 1
CTT
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TER
0 - 0
FRO
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |