Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 0
ANC
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 3
PRG
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 0
JUV
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
PRG
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SAM
3 - 2
PRG
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PES
2 - 2
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
TER
5 - 2
VNZ
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 2
TER
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
ATL
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TER
1 - 2
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |