Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
PRG
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
MAN
46%
32%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
TAR
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
TER
0 - 1
TOR
16%
25%
60%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
MOD
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
PIS
1 - 1
TER
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
TER
0 - 2
USF
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
PIA
1 - 1
TER
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |