Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
REG
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
PRG
64%
25%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
GEN
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 1
LIV
60%
26%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
TER
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
COM
2 - 1
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
TER
2 - 1
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
CAT
0 - 1
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
REG
0 - 1
TER
56%
26%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |