Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
PRG
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
TER
2 - 0
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LAZ
3 - 1
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
TER
0 - 0
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |