Perugia vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
11%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
GIU
2 - 4
PRG
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
PRG
0 - 1
CAV
59%
25%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TER
2 - 1
PRG
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PRG
2 - 0
SSM
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
RAV
2 - 0
PRG
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
TAR
1 - 2
AVE
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
USF
1 - 0
TAR
52%
26%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TAR
4 - 3
ANC
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAL
0 - 1
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TAR
0 - 0
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |