Perugia vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.4%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
JUS
1 - 1
PRG
16%
24%
60%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
65%
23%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
7%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SAL
1 - 0
PRG
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
ANC
68%
21%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
TAR
5 - 0
GIU
52%
28%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 3
TAR
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
TAR
2 - 0
TER
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GAL
0 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSM
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |