Perugia vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
30.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 1
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
42%
35%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
REG
1 - 3
PRG
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
44%
33%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRG
37%
32%
31%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
32%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
TAR
39%
33%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
TAR
61%
25%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
34%
30%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 1
TAR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |