Perugia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.8%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
20.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PRG
0 - 0
JUS
68%
22%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
USF
1 - 3
PRG
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PRG
4 - 2
TER
71%
21%
8%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 2
PRG
17%
25%
59%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
VIR
1 - 2
SSM
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
VIR
3 - 2
GAL
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
ANC
0 - 2
VIR
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 0
TER
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |